Sunday, August 9, 2020

More Storm Activity

I can't tell from the online map where exactly Grey & Arka Kinari are right now; it shows them still in Guam. Which might be true. Perhaps they returned to port since there another storm, Tropical Depression Six, that has materialized. It is northerly of their location but the future track shows a slight southerly curve 5 days out. Typhoon Jangmi is far north between Japan and South Korea but Typhoon Mekkhala has taken its place near Taiwan, heading northerly towards China.
Arka Kinari is the little red dot towards the center of the map.


For most of the day I worked on Reflection Paper #1 for Dr. Ric's class. It is supposed to be around 500 words; when I finished it was 1225 words. I sent him an email to see if that was okay. My back & my butt are now very sore; I'm just not used to sitting so long. Even when I used to sit with Dad I did not stay sitting for more than an hour or so at a time before I had some reason to get up and walk around. With classes sometimes I sit for 2 hours. And with this paper I was sitting for about 3 hours and 5 hours! I need to get better at getting up and moving around every so often.

There is a disturbance about 1400 miles southeast of us that has a 50% chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 5 days. In other news, the disturbance off Baja California has now become Tropical Depression Elida. This is where Hurricane Douglas formed before it made its way to our shores so I will be keeping an eye on it to see if it crosses over in to the Central Pacific region.



Once again there was more news of the outbreak. It is interesting that a bunch of bars decided to stay open even though they were all shut down. There are  Aumore cases at the jail; it's just a matter of time to see who bad it will get. Earlier they released what they believed to be low risk re-offenders to ease the overcrowding problem; a week or so ago it was reported that over half had re-offended and were back in jail. Auē!






There were 152 new COVID-19 cases; bringing the total up to 3498. The 7-day average used by the Hawai'i Data Collaborative smooths out the big spikes and dips caused by data reporting lags during weekends so is a better metric for comparative purposes. The HDC also includes information on active hospitalizations; another essential indicator. The hospital bed data is from LG Green's daily updates and is not available through the department of health.

Red is ICU beds, blue are general.





The percent of positive cases is one indicator of how widespread the disease is within the population. You can see how it has increased as the cases have increased. The aim is to keep the percent of positive cases at 10% or less. Robust testing helps by identifying infected people so that they can be isolated to stop the spread.

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